Refiner Neste Warns of Weaker Biofuel Outlook, Shares Drop

Company makes third cut to renewables company outlook this year

Company makes third cut to renewables service outlook this year


Reduces both margin and volume outlook


Weaker diesel market hits biofuel rates


(Adds expert, background, detail in paragraphs 2-3, 9-11)


By Elviira Luoma and Essi Lehto


HELSINKI, Sept 11 (Reuters) - Finnish refiner Neste on Wednesday cut the margin outlook for its biofuel service for the 3rd time this year due to falling rates and also reduced its anticipated sales volumes, sending out the business's share rate down 10%.


Neste said a drop in the rate of routine diesel had affected what it can charge for the biofuel it makes in Europe and Singapore, while input expenses for waste and residue feedstock remained high.


A rush by U.S. fuel makers to recalibrate their plants to produce sustainable diesel has created a supply excess of low-emissions biofuels, hammering profit margins for refiners and threatening to impede the nascent industry.


Neste in a statement slashed the expected average comparable sales margin of its renewables unit to between $360-$480 per tonne of biofuel, down from $480-$580 per tonne seen in July and well below the $600-$800 seen in February.


The business now likewise anticipates renewables-based sales volumes in 2024 to be about 3.9 million tonnes rather of the 4.4 million it had anticipated since the start of the year, it included.


A part of the volume cut originated from the production of sustainable aviation fuel, of which it is now anticipated to sell between 350,000-550,000 tonnes this year, down from between 500,000 and 700,000 tonnes seen previously, Neste said.


"Renewable products' sales prices have been adversely impacted by a significant decrease in (the) diesel price during the third quarter," Neste said in a declaration.


"At the exact same time, waste and residue feedstock costs have actually not decreased and renewable item market value premiums have actually stayed weak," the business included.


Industry executives and analysts have actually stated quickly expanding Chinese biodiesel producers are seeking new outlets in Asia for their exports, while Shell and BP have actually revealed they are pausing expansion plans in Europe.


While the cut in Neste's guidance on sales volumes of sustainable air travel fuel came as a surprise, the negative influence on biodiesel margins from a lower diesel price was to be expected, Inderes expert Petri Gostowski stated.


Neste's share price had reversed some losses by 1037 GMT however remained down 5.8% on the day and 48% lower year-to-date. (Reporting by Elviira Luoma, Essi Lehto and Boleslaw Lasocki; Editing by Terje Solsvik and Jan Harvey)


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